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Thread: At what point do coincidences stop being coincidences?

  1. Top | #21
    Mazzie Daius fromderinside's Avatar
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    Ah the rubber meets the road analogy.

  2. Top | #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sarpedon View Post
    Is there an accepted method to determine when it is sound to think that coincidences aren't random? I'm talking in every day life, where things happen without lab conditions, and the mind makes connections between things in a free form way. We all know the mind loves to make connections, but is there a point where one can say, "aha! there is some unseen link?" because sometimes there is, isn't there?
    As soon as one can accurately predict it.

  3. Top | #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tharmas View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by bilby View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by fromderinside View Post
    Probability can be a harsh mistress. Something associated can be just coincidental.
    You only said that because it's a full moon.
    Well, I heard a newscaster on one of the local stations a while back explain that of course the moon affects us. It causes the tides, she said, and we're 98% water. You can't argue with logic like that.
    She is absolutely right, except that last 2% actually represents 85% of what controls us. So while the moon effects us because we are 98% water (despite the fact the moon is always running around the Earth, regardless of how much reflected light we see), it actually only counts for about 15% of our actions.

  4. Top | #24
    Fair dinkum thinkum bilby's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Higgins View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tharmas View Post

    Well, I heard a newscaster on one of the local stations a while back explain that of course the moon affects us. It causes the tides, she said, and we're 98% water. You can't argue with logic like that.
    She is absolutely right, except that last 2% actually represents 85% of what controls us. So while the moon effects us because we are 98% water (despite the fact the moon is always running around the Earth, regardless of how much reflected light we see), it actually only counts for about 15% of our actions.
    More people are attacked by lions the night after the full moon than on any other day in the lunar month. This is a real and measurable effect; And it has a reasonable explanation. Can you guess why this should be the case?

  5. Top | #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by bilby View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Higgins View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tharmas View Post

    Well, I heard a newscaster on one of the local stations a while back explain that of course the moon affects us. It causes the tides, she said, and we're 98% water. You can't argue with logic like that.
    She is absolutely right, except that last 2% actually represents 85% of what controls us. So while the moon effects us because we are 98% water (despite the fact the moon is always running around the Earth, regardless of how much reflected light we see), it actually only counts for about 15% of our actions.
    More people are attacked by lions the night after the full moon than on any other day in the lunar month. This is a real and measurable effect; And it has a reasonable explanation. Can you guess why this should be the case?
    Lions are 99% water and the last percent doesn't do anything. So lions are really nothing more than the Moon's bitches.

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